Notre Dame vs Boston College 10/2/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Notre Dame winning 51% of simulations, and Boston College 49% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Notre Dame commits fewer turnovers in 48% of simulations and they go on to win 62% when they take care of the ball. Boston College wins 63% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Armando Allen is averaging 84 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (26% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. Montel Harris is averaging 143 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (37% chance) then he helps his team win 65%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BC +2.5 --- Over/Under line is 45

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